A recent study claims that the warming of the climate caused by the effect of a single carbon emission is felt within 10 years at its maximum potential.
The study was made by Ken Caldeira and Katharine Ricke from the Carnegie Institution for Science and is the first of its kind to analyze the time it takes to feel the maximum effect caused by a single emission of carbon. The study rejects the popular belief that emissions caused today will not be felt for numerous years and they are the problem of future generations and they show how the effect of a single carbon emission is felt within 10 years.
“A lot of climate scientists have intuition about how long it takes to feel the warming from a particular emission of carbon dioxide. But that intuition might be a little bit out of sync with our best estimates from today’s climate and carbon cycle models.”
Katharine Ricke said.
Several climate simulations concentrate on how much warming is caused by emissions sustained over centuries or decades, but they overlook the timing of increases in temperature caused by particular emission.
The researchers hoped to remedy that by mixing the conclusions from two modeling studies. One study was about the effect on the planet’s climate cause by carbon and the other about how the emissions of carbon interact with the global carbon cycle. Caldeira and Ricke discovered that measures taken in order to avoid emissions now would be felt in the lift time of people taking those measures not just in those of future generations.
“CO2 emissions cause global temperatures to increase for about a decade, but then temperatures stay high for a long time. This means if we avoid an emission, we avoid heating that would otherwise occur this decade. This will benefit us and not just our grandchildren. This realization could help break the political logjam over policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,”
Ken Caldeira said.
The authors of the research said that as the warming brought on by a single emission hits a maximum very fast, the harm caused by it can stretch over longer periods of time, including the rise in sea level and could also hurt the ecosystems by constant warming.